ECU poll finds more North Carolinians oppose impeachment but think it’s time for a new president; state remains a toss-up for 2020 election

East Carolina University faculty members Peter Francia and Jonathan Morris of ECU’s Center for Survey Research recently polled North Carolina residents on their opinions regarding impeachment and the 2020 election.

  • 50% of registered voters in North Carolina oppose the impeachment and removal of President Trump from office compared to 44% who favor it.
    • More than 80% of self-identified Democrats favor impeachment compared to 9% of Republicans and 36% of independents and unaffiliated registered voters.
  • However, only 44% of registered voters in North Carolina think that Trump should be re-elected compared to 51% who think it is time for someone else to be president.
  • North Carolina is almost evenly split on Trump’s job performance, with 45% who approve and 47% who disapprove.
  • Among Democrats, former Vice President Joe Biden leads at 29%, ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders 19%, Sen. Elizabeth Warren 17%, Andrew Yang 9%, Sen. Kamala Harris 8%, Mayor Pete Buttigieg 4%, Beto O’Rourke 4%, Sen. Amy Klobuchar 3%, Sen. Cory Booker 1%, and Julian Castro 1%.
  • In head-to-head matchups against some of the top Democratic contenders, Trump currently sits in a virtual tie in North Carolina, roughly 13 months from Election Day.
    • Trump vs. Biden: Trump 46.4%, Biden 49.7% (Biden plus 3.3%)
    • Trump vs. Sanders: Trump 47.7%, Sanders 48.5% (Sanders plus 0.8%)
    • Trump vs. Warren: Trump 48.5%, Warren 47.6% (Trump plus 0.9%)
    • Trump vs. Harris: Trump 49.3%, Harris 46.9% (Trump plus 2.4%)
    • Trump vs. Buttigieg: Trump 49.4%, Buttigieg 46.8% (Trump plus 2.6%)

    The results are based on data collected from 1,076 registered voters in North Carolina who completed the survey between Oct. 2-9. The margin of error is plus or minus 3%.

    “North Carolina has been a presidential battleground state since the 2008 election and the numbers in our poll make clear that North Carolina will once again be a hotly contested state in 2020. Public opinion among registered voters in North Carolina is split on the issue of impeachment, and on whether the president deserves a second term in office,” said Francia.

    Francia is the director of the ECU Center for Survey Research and professor of political science. Morris is a senior polling scientist for the ECU Center for Survey Research and professor of political science. The center is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

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    Contact: Jamie Smith, ECU News Services

    Telephone: 252-328-6481

    Note: Details about the survey methodology and bar graphs are provided in this document.